While many fans in the UK concentrate on their clubs' season-opening fortunes or debate forthcoming autumn internationals, the battle for 2027 Rugby World Cup qualification rages on at full pace.
Chile earned their back-to-back appearance at the competition with a sensational playoff victory over Samoa last month, leaving only a single place left up for grabs for Australia in two years. Meanwhile, the Paraguayan side surprised Brazil by twenty points in the first leg of their qualifying series.
The return match is scheduled this Saturday in the Brazilian city, close to São Paulo, as Brazil's squad attempts to emulate the women's success and secure qualification for the first occasion.
Whether Paraguay completes a surprise aggregate win, or Brazil recovers following head coach Emiliano Caffera's departure, the lineup for November's qualifying event in Dubai will be confirmed. Namibia, Belgium, and the Samoan side have already secured their places for the Dubai-based competition from 8-18 November.
Many other teams have also secured their spots. The Hong Kong China team achieved first-time World Cup entry following defeating Korea by a large margin in July, and Zimbabwe will return to rugby union's most prestigious stage for the first time since 1991 by virtue of claiming victory in the Rugby Africa Cup.
The knock-on effect of Chile's playoff success means that Los Condores will face Italy for the first time in November during the fall test series, replacing Samoa who must participate in the Dubai tournament.
The global governing body's CEO described Chile an "thrilling and fast-emerging force" in announcing the upcoming fixture in the Italian city. While local rugby promotional efforts seek larger crowds, rugby in Chile is thriving. A capacity crowd of over 20,000 witnessed the qualifying win in the coastal city, and manager the national coach has led the squad on an upward trajectory since his appointment in recent years.
The 50-year-old former Uruguayan forward has been influencing the game for many years: recruited by the English club in the 1990s, he famously broke through the English defense to score at the 2003 global tournament.
His influence as national coach has been equally powerful: Chile have risen to seventeenth place, their best ranking. At the last tournament in France, they were beaten four times, conceding 215 points and registering twenty-seven, featuring a heavy loss to England.
Nevertheless, they confidently took the positives, and after the 2027 draw in Sydney on December 3rd, the coach can start preparations in earnest. They hosted Scotland previously, losing by a significant margin before twenty-four thousand supporters, and while they were beaten over two legs by the Uruguayan side in the first 2027 playoff, they managed a narrow away victory in Montevideo.
The Samoan team, in contrast, have participated in all Rugby World Cup since 1991, but are presently languishing in 16th place in the men's rankings. They were without a victory in this year's Pacific Nations Cup, resulting in playoff misery versus Chile, and the requirement to face nations such as Belgium brings additional challenge for the proud rugby nation.
Beyond individual nations' fortunes, it is important to consider how different the larger tournament will look in the next edition. For the first occasion, there will be a knockout stage with six groups of four instead of four pools of five. Group phase jeopardy is significantly reduced because the top four third-place teams will additionally qualify.
The hosts, the Australian team, are now placed seventh in the global rankings, meaning they would miss out on top seeding and could meet one of the Springboks, New Zealand, Ireland, France, the English, or the Pumas in Pool A. They could rise into the top six during a packed autumn schedule, though: England, Italy, the Irish squad, and the French team are their opponents, with a game against the Japanese team in the capital additionally scheduled for October 25th.
The Welsh team, meanwhile, are teetering in 12th, with the Japanese side behind, and the implications of falling to 13th and into pot three are potentially severe.
An additional fresh aspect for 2027 is the presence of five nations from the American continent: the Argentine team, the Uruguayan side, the United States, Canada, and Chile – with Paraguay or Brazil potentially making it six. From the governing body's perspective, American interest is positive, especially with the 2031 World Cup scheduled to be staged by the United States, and the host selection for the 2035 edition was launched last month.
For now, though. The second installment of Brazil versus Paraguay sets up a four-team Dubai shootout, along with a potential rankings shake-up throughout Europe in November. No matter how things pan out, Chile's qualification for a second Rugby World Cup has already made them as a clear triumphant example.